Scouting Report · Attackers · Poacher · February 2026
Centre-Forward / Poacher

Andrej
Kostić

A 19-year-old Partizan striker who ranks first among all U21 strikers globally in non-penalty goals, non-penalty xG, and shots per 90. You will spend most of his matches wondering whether he is doing enough. Then he'll probably score.

Andrej Kostić
Player Information
Date of Birth
Jan 16, 2007
Nationality
🇲🇪 Montenegrin
Current Club
FK Partizan
League
Serbian SuperLiga
Position
CF
Foot
Right
Height
1.88m
Market Value
€3M
Contract Until
Jun 2030
Agent
Int'l Sports Office
7.5
B.A.S.E. Potential
Out of 10
6.5
Travel Ready
Out of 10
Feb '26
Date Scouted
Most recent
Role and positioning

Player Profile

Poacher
Centre-Forward
A penalty-box striker built around movement and finishing rather than involvement. Kostić survives quietly in matches until the right space appears, then attacks it quickly. The footwork is light, the timing intelligent, and the right foot a genuine weapon from awkward angles and tight windows. The left foot remains a real limitation, both technically and mechanically, and narrows the range of situations he finishes comfortably from. What already exists, though, is a natural scoring instinct. The question is how much football can exist around it.
4–2–3–1 Shape
GK RB LCB RCB LB LDM RDM LW CAM RW ST
Kostić — highlighted position
Heatmap
Zone of influence
On and off the ball

Observed Behaviors

On the Ball

  • The right foot is a genuine weapon. Quick into his shooting motion, comfortable striking even when off-balance or at an awkward body angle, and able to generate power from positions that most strikers would need to reset from first. The conversion numbers (91st percentile) and the shot quality (80th-percentile npxG per shot) are not separate things — they reflect the same quality: he arrives in good positions and gets off clean attempts quickly enough that goalkeepers cannot adjust.

  • The left foot is a real problem. Not just a weaker side — technically unreliable in ways that are specific and observable. When the ball is rolling forward and he needs to strike, the pivot foot stops planting in time, his shoulders come off the ball, and the laces do not connect. Power drains out of shots that should be straightforward. In positions with space and time and no defensive pressure, the left foot produces results well below what the right foot would. That gap is honest and currently costs goals.

  • Shot fakes that defenders actually commit to. He does not fake aggressively. He makes convincing enough half-commitments that nearby defenders bite, opening lanes for himself or freeing teammates. It is a small detail in isolation; across a match it becomes a tool that creates options beyond the obvious.

  • Passes are functional at best, minimal in volume. 15th-percentile pass accuracy, 23rd-percentile passes per 90. There are flashes of competence, he lays the ball off to wingers intelligently when service arrives, and the 83rd-percentile long pass accuracy is an outlier that suggests physical range the short game does not express. But as a link player, he is not there. He knows his role, but that role is narrow.

Off the Ball

  • The box movement is the best part of the profile. He constructs positions. Starts in the blind side of a centre-back, adjusts to be ball-side for a potential one-two when the winger receives, repositions again to get behind, then bursts in front of the CB as the cross enters. Multiple adjustments in a single sequence, all made in the time it takes most players to make one. The footwork is light and twitchy, with short burst speed that consistently gets him a step ahead of defenders. This is scalable. It will not break down simply because the defenders get better.

  • Variety of goal types backed by deliberate movement. Cutbacks, rebounds, runs in behind, goals under physical contact using the arm to stay in front. He does not try to smash everything; there is clear thought behind the finish selection. The variety is notable because it suggests the scoring mechanism is not dependent on one specific type of service.

  • Speed control as a weapon. He slows down at the right moment to get the ball through a defender's legs before setting up the shot. That kind of pace manipulation, knowing when to decelerate inside a run, is more sophisticated than pure speed and harder to teach.

  • Aerial work is a genuine weakness. 12th-percentile aerial duel success at 1.88m. The elevation is there, but the timing and physicality of challenging for crosses are not yet translating into the numbers his frame should produce. When his aerial game develops, more types of service become usable. Right now, it remains a liability that closes off a significant share of how a striker his size is typically deployed.

  • The game passes him by when service stops. He does not press with intensity, does not drop to link, does not drag defenders to create space for runners. Match ratings fluctuate sharply between games where he is found in positions and games where he is not. This is partly structural and partly a mental challenge he has not yet fully solved. He is not yet someone who takes the game by the scruff when it is not going his way.

Player DNA

Trait Classification

Pure Traits

Will Travel
Finishing instinct and shot variety
The conversion numbers at the top of a global U21 comparison group are supported by something specific: he does not try to smash everything. The shot selection shows awareness — cutbacks, rebounds, contact goals, shots at difficult angles. That variety reflects thought behind the mechanism, not just athleticism in front of goal.
Box movement and micro-adjustment
The most undervalued quality in the profile. He constructs positions through multiple adjustments inside a single run: blind side, ball side, behind again, then burst. The footwork is twitchy and quick, 2-3 steps ahead of defenders in short bursts. This is scalable — it does not depend on the quality of the opposition declining, it depends on the quality of the service improving.
Speed control inside runs
He knows when to decelerate. Slowing at the right moment to get the ball through a defender's legs before setting up the shot is a specific form of intelligence — it requires reading the defender's momentum and adjusting before most players would. Harder to teach than pure pace.
Composure under pressure
Scoring through contact, getting into his shooting motion while off-balance, keeping his head in big-match situations at Partizan at 19. This is not coincidental — it reflects a specific temperament that does not need to be built. The grit of Balkan football is present here in the best sense: cool head, strong will, competitive spirit that does not need the game to go perfectly first.

System Traits

Context-Dependent
Cross-driven finishing
His goal output rises substantially in systems that generate wide deliveries, cutbacks, and rebounds. Without consistent wide service, he gets fewer opportunities in positions he already knows how to convert. The value of the finishing instinct depends heavily on service quality.
Transition threat
Most dangerous when the game moves vertically and quickly. His run-in-behind timing and acceleration read transition situations well. In a slow-build possession system, this quality contributes little.

Exposed Traits

Structural Risk
Aerial duels
12th-percentile success rate for a 1.88m centre-forward. The size suggests a target-man ceiling that the numbers do not confirm. Heading — as a linking tool, a pressing tool, and a finishing tool from crosses — is currently a liability for a profile that should be weaponising it. This is the most serious gap relative to his physical type.
Link-up and buildup contribution
15th-percentile pass accuracy, 23rd-percentile passes per 90. Systems that require the centre-forward to hold, link, and connect midfield to attack will expose this immediately. He is not yet a usable partner in possession phases. This limits the range of clubs that can deploy him effectively right now.
Game influence without service
When chances do not arrive, contribution trends toward zero. He does not drag defenders, create space, press with intensity, or affect the game through other means. Match ratings fluctuate sharply between good service and bad service games. A finisher who cannot impose his will on the game in other ways needs to be bought by a club that can guarantee the service.

Context Traits

Amplified Here
Goal conversion rate
91st-percentile conversion in the Serbian SuperLiga is a real quality, but the defensive standard of the league provides a discount on the raw number. The npxG per shot (80th percentile) is the more honest measure of shot quality. Both numbers point the same direction; the league discount applies to both.
Player profiles

Athletic, Cognitive & Psychological

Athletic Profile

Frame
1.88m with a developing physical base. Already physically present for his age; still growing into senior-level physicality. The frame gives him the ceiling to be a target man but the current numbers — particularly aerial duels — show he is not yet imposing it consistently.
Speed and stride
Effective over distance rather than explosive in tight spaces. Handles the ball well at speed when attacking depth, which suggests coordination that many tall strikers lack at this age. Not a short-space dribbler.
Two-footedness
Confirmed comfort striking with either foot from finishing positions. Not just technically ambidextrous; the conversion holds across both. Defenders cannot narrow his angles in the conventional way.
Physical development
Strength in shoulder-to-shoulder duels is still building. Against senior-level defenders who contest physically before the ball arrives, he will face moments the Serbian SuperLiga does not yet consistently provide. Frame development over the next two seasons will significantly change what he can impose.

Cognitive Profile

Decision speed
Fast in finishing situations. Rarely gives defenders time to adjust once the ball arrives in a scoring position. This is the cognitive quality that most directly explains the conversion numbers. He decides before the ball arrives and executes without reconsideration.
Risk profile
Aggressive in finishing situations; still developing in possession phases. The tendency to shoot over pass in areas near the box can be read by defenders. Passing alternatives as a response to blocked shooting lanes are not yet a formed habit.
Spatial awareness
Elite inside the penalty area; average or below in deeper positions. The box-reading quality is the clearest cognitive strength in the profile. Everything further from goal is still developing.
Adaptability
Still developing. Currently tied strongly to service and attacking momentum. The cognitive challenge is learning to affect games in other ways when the primary mechanism, is unavailable.

Psychological Markers

Big-moment composure
The clearest psychological strength. He is unfazed by pressure in finishing moments. The conversion numbers at 19, with 1,300 senior minutes at a club with title-contention expectations, is evidence of functional composure under consequence.
Competitive drive
Determined and willing to compete for scoring opportunities. Consistent attacking run volume and touches in box per 90 suggest someone who keeps searching even when earlier opportunities have not arrived.
Consistency
Match ratings fluctuate widely — strongly correlated to service quality. This is partly a structural problem (profile requires service to function) and partly a mental challenge: imposing will on games regardless of whether the ideal service arrives. He has not yet solved the second part.
Focus maintenance
Alert and present in scoring zones throughout matches. The concentration required to maintain box positioning without constant ball involvement is a specific mental skill — and one he appears to possess.
Development

Priorities for Growth

01

Aerial duels and header technique. This is the most serious structural gap relative to his physical profile. A 1.88m centre-forward who wins aerial duels at the 12th percentile is not using his frame. The timing and physicality of challenging for crosses — as a finishing tool and as a way to keep service honest — need to develop significantly before he can be considered a complete target striker.

02

Link-up and short combination play. The 15th-percentile pass accuracy is a direct constraint on the range of systems that can use him. A centre-forward who cannot hold, lay off cleanly, or connect in tight spaces between lines cannot be deployed in most modern structures. This does not need to become a strength, but it needs to become functional. The difference between 15th-percentile passing and 40th is significant enough to change his deployment options substantially.

03

Game influence without direct service. When chances are not arriving, he needs to develop ways to affect the game — pressing triggers, movement to create space for runners, pin-and-release combinations with midfielders. Currently, bad service games produce near-zero involvement. A striker who can only contribute when found in position is a structural limitation at the top level, where service will be more unpredictable.

04

Physical assertiveness in duels. The frame is there and still developing. Learning to use it earlier in defensive contests — particularly to hold off senior-level centre-backs before the ball arrives — will determine whether the conversion numbers at the Serbian SuperLiga level hold at the next step. Defenders who can out-muscle him before the moment will reduce the opportunities the current data describes.

Transferability

Travel Readiness Score

6.5
out of 10
Travel Ready

The finishing instinct, two-footed technique, and penalty-area positioning travel. These are formed habits at the level his global U21 ranking confirms, and they do not depend on the Serbian SuperLiga's defensive standard to function.

The 6.5 reflects one central constraint: the profile requires a specific environment to produce at the level the numbers suggest. He needs a team that generates crosses, wide deliveries, and transition opportunities consistently, and he needs a system that does not require the centre-forward to contribute to buildup. That is not a niche brief, but it is a specific one. A club that buys him expecting a complete modern striker will be disappointed. A club that buys him as an elite penalty-box finisher who needs service — and builds accordingly — will likely be satisfied.

The best immediate environment is vertical, crossing-oriented, and has a partner striker or CAM who can handle buildup involvement. Bundesliga, Eredivisie, and Jupiler Pro League structures produce this more consistently than La Liga or Serie A. The Premier League physical intensity is probably a step too aggressive at this stage of physical development.

League by league

Transferability Projections

League context note: The Serbian SuperLiga sits 28th in the UEFA coefficient table. All scores below apply a discount for the step up in defensive quality, physical intensity, and pace. The finishing instinct and positioning transfer; the involvement numbers require specific system architecture to function.
Premier League
5.5
The physical gap is the biggest concern. Senior defenders will contest earlier and more aggressively before the ball arrives; his current ability to impose physically is not yet at that level. The finishing instinct would survive if the service survived, but generating enough chances in a competitive environment before the physical deficit is addressed is a tall ask.
Bundesliga
7.0
The best current fit. The league's vertical, transition-oriented play and frequency of crossing situations align directly with his strengths. Many Bundesliga sides deploy a genuine reference-point striker without extensive buildup demands. The physical challenge is real but the service quality and frequency would provide genuine opportunities for the finishing instinct to express itself.
La Liga
5.5
The technical demands placed on strikers in possession-oriented Spanish systems expose the link-up limitation immediately. La Liga's slower tempo could suit his movement in the box, but the expectation of buildup participation at most clubs is too high for the current profile. A specific mid-table club with direct play could work; this is not a general fit.
Serie A
6.0
Italian defensive structures would limit his opportunities more than other leagues. Many Serie A sides are compact and do not generate the crossing situations and transitions that feed his profile. His aerial weakness makes him a difficult target for Italian defensive organisation. Could work in a specific system, but not a natural fit.
Ligue 1
7.0
Athletic, physical, direct. The duels and transition pace suit his movement profile. Ligue 1 produces enough crossing situations and attacking transitions to supply a penalty-box striker regularly. The physical demands are real but the environment matches his strengths more directly than more technical leagues.
Eredivisie
7.5
Strong developmental fit. Open, attack-oriented, with frequent crossing and transition situations. The physical step up from Serbian football is manageable. The technical demands do not heavily penalise the link-up gap. Would provide regular meaningful finishing opportunities while the other dimensions of his game develop around them.
Jupiler Pro League
7.0
A clean entry point. Belgian football's direct style, physical intensity, and service frequency suit his profile. He would face a physical step up but not a tactical one that exposes the current limitations. A strong deployment option if the Eredivisie is unavailable or overpriced.
Risk assessment

Four-Axis Risk Profile

Each axis scored independently 1 to 5, where 1 is minimal risk and 5 is extreme risk.

2 out of 5
Development
Low risk

1,300 senior minutes at 19 for a title-contending club. The core finishing qualities are formed. The gaps are developmental, not structural. Physically still growing into his frame, which adds upside rather than risk.

1 out of 5
Psychological
Minimal risk

Composed in big-moment situations. Trusted with senior minutes under consequence. Competitive mentality evident in consistent run patterns and positioning effort even when service is limited.

4 out of 5
Market
High risk

External interest from clubs at a higher valuation level (AC Milan) creates acquisition pressure and may inflate the price beyond what the current output justifies. At €3M with contract to 2030, the baseline is reasonable, but the risk is that market forces move before the profile is complete.

4 out of 5
Systemic
High risk

The profile only fully functions in specific system environments: vertical, crossing-heavy, with service-focused teammates. In a possession-dominant system or one that requires striker buildup involvement, output will drop significantly from what the current numbers suggest.

Risk scale reference
1
Minimal
No meaningful concerns. Proceed with confidence.
2
Low
Minor concerns, unlikely to affect outcome materially.
3
Medium
Real concerns that require active management or monitoring.
4
High
Significant exposure. Could materially affect ceiling or value.
5
Extreme
A structural problem that is unlikely to be resolved through development.
Statistical profile — Serbian SuperLiga 25/26 · CF · 1,300+ mins · All Leagues U21 global

Elite Finisher, Limited Participant

The global U21 rankings are where this profile becomes genuinely interesting. The finishing numbers are not merely good for the Serbian SuperLiga — they are first in the world among players his age at his position. The involvement numbers are the honest counterweight.

1st
Non-penalty goals / 90
vs All Leagues U21 Strikers
1st
Non-penalty xG / 90
vs All Leagues U21 Strikers
1st
Shots / 90
vs All Leagues U21 Strikers
2nd
npxG + xA / 90
vs All Leagues U21 Strikers
Finishing & Goal Threat
Elite output, elite positions
Percentile vs SSL CFs with 900+ mins, 25/26 season
NP goals / 90
99th
npxG / 90
95th
Shots / 90
92nd
Touches in box / 90
92nd
Goal conversion %
91st
npxG per shot
80th
High-quality positions, not just high volume — 80th-percentile npxG per shot is the honest underlying measure
Key Observation

The finishing profile is internally consistent: high volume, high position quality, high conversion, high shot quality. When Kostić arrives in a scoring position, he generates good shots and converts them at an elite rate. The data describes a complete finishing mechanism — from finding the position to executing the attempt.

Game Involvement & Contribution
Almost absent, when not finishing
Percentile vs SSL CFs with 900+ mins, 25/26 season
Pass accuracy %
15th
The most damaging combination: near-last in pass accuracy and near-last in pass volume
Passes / 90
23rd
Aerial duels won %
12th
Alarm at 1.88m — the aerial finishing ceiling his frame implies is not yet functioning
Prog. passes / 90
20th
Duels won %
4th
Lowest in the dataset — the dueling profile confirms physical development is the most pressing athletic gap
Long pass acc. %
83rd
The outlier — physical range that the short-passing numbers do not predict; worth monitoring as physical development continues
Key Observation

The involvement profile is the counterbalance to the finishing profile. Almost everything that is not directly related to scoring a goal lands in the bottom quartile of the dataset. The long pass accuracy is the single number that does not fit the pattern — and it may signal a physical ceiling that the rest of the involvement numbers do not yet express.

Positional mapping
Goal Threat vs Game Involvement
Composite percentile scores, Serbian SuperLiga CF/ST players with 400+ mins, 25/26 season. Goal threat composite: NPG per 90, npxG per 90, shots per 90, touches in box, goal conversion. Game involvement composite: pass accuracy, progressive passes, duels won %, progressive runs, xA.
Under 21
21 to 29
30+
A. Kostić
Hover any dot for details. Kostić occupies the far right of the goal threat axis — the highest in the dataset — while sitting well below average on involvement. No other U21 player in this pool combines threat at that level with involvement that low.
Final assessment

Verdict & Potential Rating

Scout's Verdict

Buy him for a system that will supply him and tolerate the rest. The finishing instinct, the box movement, and the composure are formed. The left foot, the aerial game, and the game influence without service are all gaps — but they are gaps in a 19-year-old who is already first globally among his peers in the numbers that matter most at his position. The eye for goal cannot be taught. Everything else, at least in principle, can.

What travels

  • Box movement intelligence: micro-adjustments, blind-side starting positions, speed control in runs — sophisticated and scalable
  • Shot variety and selection: cutbacks, contact goals, off-balance finishes — the mechanism shows thought, not just athleticism
  • Right-foot finishing: quick into shooting motion, comfortable off-balance, generating power at awkward angles; 91st-percentile conversion, 80th-percentile npxG per shot
  • Shot fakes: convincing enough that defenders commit, creating lanes for himself and teammates
  • Composure: cool in big moments at 19 for a title-contending club; the Balkan competitive grit is present in its best form

What must be addressed

  • Left foot coordination: technically unreliable when the ball is rolling, pivot foot stops planting, power drains; costs goals in situations with space and no pressure
  • Aerial duels: 12th percentile at 1.88m; elevation is present but timing and physical challenge are not translating
  • Game influence without service: near-zero contribution when not in direct finishing positions; does not press, link, or create space for others
  • Physical duels: 4th-percentile overall duel win rate; senior defenders at the next level will contest earlier and harder before the ball arrives
B.A.S.E. Potential Rating
7.5/10
⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽

Projects as a reliable top-division striker in the right system. The ceiling moves toward 8.5 if the aerial game develops, the link-up becomes functional, and he learns to impose himself on games that do not supply him. The floor is a finishing specialist who requires specific deployment to produce — genuinely useful, but narrowly so.